Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 895.321817 1021.500939 1165.761091 1344.370125 1561.622491 1819.995293 2.154616e+03
2024-10-20 698.910482 854.163702 1049.460817 1318.592076 1688.828710 2194.566302 2.964665e+03
2024-10-27 590.390469 749.323378 960.259300 1269.740205 1728.860886 2414.848278 3.583256e+03
2024-11-03 542.062310 711.887407 948.638088 1317.181838 1905.821546 2869.618643 4.722190e+03
2024-11-10 500.323834 675.411186 929.496419 1345.154105 2052.860220 3311.229811 6.025472e+03
2024-11-17 465.241861 642.961500 909.945317 1366.236874 2189.465114 3771.308927 7.596861e+03
2024-11-24 427.371393 601.472355 870.201041 1345.789692 2245.442853 4091.192191 9.032638e+03
2024-12-01 404.215188 579.678855 858.261013 1369.867201 2388.625172 4637.700207 1.142503e+04
2024-12-08 387.642788 566.224842 857.757174 1413.396643 2579.776249 5363.593057 1.498077e+04
2024-12-15 368.038934 545.787462 842.736717 1426.704601 2709.624635 5992.178340 1.888328e+04
2024-12-22 345.829465 519.001058 813.647549 1407.849387 2762.802316 6439.005892 2.262372e+04
2024-12-29 332.624414 506.171968 807.869642 1434.766957 2930.275942 7295.931979 2.966328e+04
2025-01-05 309.731352 476.013187 769.551728 1392.838489 2929.987532 7673.240082 3.514131e+04
2025-01-12 290.649917 451.260032 739.331966 1365.028692 2963.641399 8204.645673 4.318779e+04
2025-01-19 270.892057 423.754357 701.178645 1314.041904 2922.397725 8449.457695 4.992493e+04
2025-01-26 264.448633 419.520749 707.254076 1363.688192 3178.075802 10027.791093 7.631694e+04
2025-02-02 256.260546 411.405104 704.771932 1393.005268 3384.779522 11586.248817 1.149412e+05
2025-02-09 247.972293 402.439212 699.627162 1415.099177 3577.722119 13276.418691 1.772702e+05
2025-02-16 236.294102 386.287437 678.258274 1393.669707 3622.232077 14246.722904 2.418542e+05
2025-02-23 229.668328 379.277938 675.296017 1418.904902 3837.676005 16465.482335 4.214596e+05
2025-03-02 225.136352 375.950832 679.780848 1464.545582 4146.346257 19751.027967 9.263529e+05
2025-03-09 218.351786 367.746541 672.931990 1478.503563 4341.784441 22577.302526 2.026024e+06
2025-03-16 209.518263 354.947295 654.899565 1458.727994 4396.376632 24385.582284 4.014161e+06